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    PI2015230 ESTIMATION DE LA TEMPERATURE DE SURFACE DE LA MER PAR METEOSAT...

PI2015301 Monitoring of chronological stages of deforestation – afforestation

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Industrial forest plantation expansion is dramatically impacting the environment (biodiversity, soil, water, etc.) and social sphere. Since the enactment of Decree Law 701 (DL 701) in 1974 under the military government of Augusto Pinochet, forestry practices in Chile have become more intensive (genetic manipulation, high yield clearcutting and short rotation). The law (and its successive updates) covers up to 75% of plantation costs and is the keystone of pine and eucalyptus forest expansion. This paper presents a pluriannual detection model for monitoring and characterizing the high cutting frequency of these timber plantations. Thirteen Landsat and SPOT images taken between 1976 and 2008 are used and combined with ground data (oblique aerial photography, GPS field surveys and field sheets). A trichromatic composition is built from spectral information taken from a Red and Mid-Infrared (MIR) wavelength along a temporal gradient of 32 years. This multi-temporal on-screen visual interpretation has led to a dynamic interpretation grid which reflects forest management stages in direct relation with pine and eucalyptus crop cycles. The method was tested on various time-steps covering the entire time period on two spatial scales – local and regional. All the spatio- temporal results are conclusive and the model established by remote sensing is of operational value.

KEYWORDS
Spatio-temporal modeling, change detection, forest management, environment, southern Chile, Landsat, SPOT

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Following the fire in the Mont Blanc tunnel, a new regulation was passed requiring each tunnel of a study of its specific risks and, for the transit of dangerous goods, a comparison with the risks alternative routes. In the practical implementation of these new studies, the temptation was great to multiply and more sophisticated modeling of fires, scenario analysis, the probability calculations, the criteria for making rational choices ... Group working to develop good practices, which had both an extensive field experience and scientific instruments, has gradually converged to a specific doctrine of "reasonable use" of science by their place in the traditional arguments based on simple rules, but tough. Be described by the complex trade-offs made ​​between two logics, the logic "hyperrationnelle" and the pragmatic logic, which are always more or less tension in the regulation of risk.

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