Calendar Spreads in Commodity Futures Markets, Risk Premium and the Convenience Yield [extrait BMI 112]

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This paper studies calendar spreads in commodity futures markets while taking into account a stochastic convenience yield. We show that a convenience yield imperfectly correlated with the spot commmodity price results in an optimal strategy composed of two commodity futures contracts. These strategies reveal a calendar spread effect through the positive correlation between the two futures contracts. These strategies can easily be computed and analyzed under the Samuelson hypothesis.

Auteurs :Attaoui Sami , Mellios Constantin
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