The crisis or the end of the myth of the emergence in Egypt

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Introduction



The objective of this paper is to understand the economics of
the major political and social crisis that erupted in Egypt in late January 2011.
It is not to comment on current developments but to return
of the oldest economic causes, including the impact of
2008 global crisis and what we might call the "myth of
Egyptian emergence "1. We want to demonstrate that
Egypt, like other Arab countries, has not received a good
but a false assessment of the macroeconomic situation. this
shared illusion that the dominant economic literature except
2 multidisciplinary work has prevented him from seeing the depth of the crisis
Social bursting now openly.

SKU-1356
30 Items
2050-01-01
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Following the fire in the Mont Blanc tunnel, a new regulation was passed requiring each tunnel of a study of its specific risks and, for the transit of dangerous goods, a comparison with the risks alternative routes. In the practical implementation of these new studies, the temptation was great to multiply and more sophisticated modeling of fires, scenario analysis, the probability calculations, the criteria for making rational choices ... Group working to develop good practices, which had both an extensive field experience and scientific instruments, has gradually converged to a specific doctrine of "reasonable use" of science by their place in the traditional arguments based on simple rules, but tough. Be described by the complex trade-offs made ​​between two logics, the logic "hyperrationnelle" and the pragmatic logic, which are always more or less tension in the regulation of risk.

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